La Liga · 25/26

Deportivo Alavés v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Deportivo Alavés2 – 2 Girona FC 23 Feb 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Azzedine Ounahi	fouls drawn	1+	94%	1	✓
Toni Martínez	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Bryan Gil	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Hugo Rincón	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Claudio Echeverri	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Thomas Lemar	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Antonio Blanco	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Vladyslav Vanat	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Pablo Ibáñez	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Azzedine Ounahi	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	50%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	50%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	46%	4 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Deportivo Alavés & Girona FC player stats→ Deportivo Alavés players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works