La Liga · 25/26

Deportivo Alavés v Real Oviedo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Deportivo Alavés1 – 1 Real Oviedo 4 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Toni Martínez	shots total	1+	94%	2	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Abderrahman Rebbach	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Pablo Ibáñez	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Carlos Vicente	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Alberto Reina	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Carles Aleñá	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Santiago Colombatto	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Carlos Benavídez	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Ilyas Chaira	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Abderrahman Rebbach	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	44%	6 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	39%	2 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	38%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Deportivo Alavés & Real Oviedo player stats→ Deportivo Alavés players & stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Oviedo 0–1 Deportivo Alavés May 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works