La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Deportivo Alavés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo0 – 1 Deportivo Alavés 17 May 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Toni Martínez	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Ibrahim Diabaté	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Ilyas Chaira	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Aitor Mañas	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Abderrahman Rebbach	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Santi Cazorla	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Ilyas Chaira	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Haissem Hassan	fouls drawn	1+	86%	5	✓
Santiago Colombatto	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Antonio Blanco	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Nicolas Fonseca	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Javi López	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	46%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	41%	4 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	39%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Deportivo Alavés player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Deportivo Alavés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Real Oviedo Jan 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works