La Liga · 25/26

Espanyol v Mallorca

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Espanyol3 – 2 Mallorca 15 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Abdón Prats	fouls drawn	1+	93%	0	✗
Jan Virgili	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	92%	13	✓
Mateo Joseph	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Pere Milla	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Javi Puado	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Abdón Prats	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Pere Milla	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Pablo Torre	fouls drawn	1+	88%	4	✓
Vedat Muriqi	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Pol Lozano	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Roberto Fernández	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Mateo Joseph	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓
Tyrhys Dolan	fouls drawn	1+	78%	4	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	51%	4 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	39%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	31%	5 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Espanyol & Mallorca player stats→ Espanyol players & stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works