La Liga · 24/25

Espanyol v Real Valladolid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Espanyol2 – 1 Real Valladolid 17 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Antoniu Roca	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Javi Puado	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Marcos André	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Jofre Carreras	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Alejo Véliz	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Marcos André	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Mario Martín	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Edu Expósito	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Jofre Carreras	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Anuar	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Kike Pérez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Kike Pérez	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Pol Lozano	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Selim Amallah	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	50%	4 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	50%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Espanyol & Real Valladolid player stats→ Espanyol players & stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works