La Liga · 25/26

FC Barcelona v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Barcelona2 – 1 Girona FC 18 Oct 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lamine Yamal	shots total	1+	100%	6	✓
Marcus Rashford	shots total	1+	98%	8	✓
Fermín López	shots total	1+	92%	5	✓
Roony Bardghji	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Fermín López	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Cristhian Stuani	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Vladyslav Vanat	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Lamine Yamal	shots on target	1+	80%	1	✓
Lamine Yamal	fouls drawn	1+	78%	0	✗
Roony Bardghji	shots on target	1+	77%	0	✗
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	76%	2	✓
Yáser Asprilla	shots total	1+	76%	0	✗
Cristhian Stuani	shots total	1+	76%	0	✗
Frenkie de Jong	fouls drawn	1+	75%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	76%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	56%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	38%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

FC Barcelona & Girona FC player stats→ FC Barcelona players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works