Getafe v Real Racing Club
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Getafe beat Real Racing Club 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Enes Ünal for 1+ shots total (95%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Enes Ünal for 1+ fouls drawn (93%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enes Ünal | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Martín | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Yassir Zabiri | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Martín Satriano | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ramón Terrats | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Asier Villalibre | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrés García | tackles | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Saba Sazonov | tackles | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Zaid Romero | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yassir Zabiri | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Enes Ünal | shots on target | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Maguette Gueye | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gustavo Puerta | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Tackles Fouls committed Shots on target
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 84% | 4 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Getafe v Real Racing Club?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Getafe v Real Racing Club?
The most confident call it got wrong was Enes Ünal at 93% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the La Liga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.