La Liga · 25/26

Girona FC v Athletic Club

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC3 – 0 Athletic Club 14 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gorka Guruzeta	shots total	1+	94%	4	✓
Oihan Sancet	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Iñaki Williams	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Joel Roca	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Azzedine Ounahi	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Hugo Rincón	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Mikel Vesga	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Gorka Guruzeta	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Álex Berenguer	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Azzedine Ounahi	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Joel Roca	shots total	1+	80%	4	✓
Claudio Echeverri	fouls drawn	1+	76%	1	✓
Viktor Tsygankov	shots total	1+	76%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	55%	2 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	46%	3 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Girona FC & Athletic Club player stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Athletic Club players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works