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La Liga · 24/25

Girona FC v Real Valladolid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC3 – 0 Real Valladolid 20 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Abel Ruíz shots total 1+ 91% 3
Bryan Gil shots total 1+ 91% 2
Yáser Asprilla shots total 1+ 91% 4
Iván Sánchez fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Bryan Gil fouls drawn 1+ 88% 2
Selim Amallah fouls committed 1+ 87% 2
Mario Martín fouls committed 1+ 83% 2
Donny van de Beek fouls committed 1+ 83% 1
Selim Amallah shots total 1+ 80% 0
Marcos André shots total 1+ 80% 0
Marcos André fouls drawn 1+ 79% 3
Mario Martín fouls drawn 1+ 79% 3
Anuar fouls drawn 1+ 78% 4
Donny van de Beek shots total 1+ 76% 3

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 64% 3 goals
Match cards O4.5 54% 4 cards
Btts Yes 52% No

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.