La Liga · 25/26

Girona FC v Valencia

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Girona FC2 – 1 Valencia 4 Oct 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 7 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Arnaut Danjuma	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Lucas Beltrán	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Cristhian Stuani	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Thierry Correia	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Lucas Beltrán	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Jesús Vázquez	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Portu	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Vladyslav Vanat	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Yáser Asprilla	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Cristhian Stuani	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Thierry Correia	fouls drawn	1+	75%	2	✓
Baptiste Santamaria	fouls committed	1+	74%	0	✗
Portu	fouls committed	1+	74%	0	✗
Arnaut Danjuma	fouls drawn	1+	74%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	53%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	48%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	43%	7 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Girona FC & Valencia player stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Valencia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works