La Liga · 23/24

Granada v Real Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Granada0 – 4 Real Madrid 11 May 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Eduardo Camavinga	fouls drawn	1+	94%	4	✓
Joselu	shots total	1+	92%	5	✓
Brahim Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Dani Ceballos	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Lucas Vázquez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Eduardo Camavinga	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Arda Güler	fouls drawn	1+	86%	0	✗
Facundo Pellistri	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Kamil Jóźwiak	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Myrto Uzuni	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	53%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	51%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Granada & Real Madrid player stats→ Granada players & stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Madrid 2–0 Granada Dec 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works