La Liga · 23/24

Real Madrid v Granada

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Madrid2 – 0 Granada 2 Dec 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rodrygo	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Brahim Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	94%	2	✓
Joselu	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Myrto Uzuni	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Dani Ceballos	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Jude Bellingham	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Rodrygo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Lucas Vázquez	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Gerard Gumbau	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Sergio Ruiz	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Toni Kroos	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Federico Valverde	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	78%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	58%	3 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	58%	No	✗

Dig deeper

Real Madrid & Granada player stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Granada players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Granada 0–4 Real Madrid May 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works