La Liga · 23/24
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Granada v Villarreal
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Granada2 – 3
Villarreal
30 Oct 2023
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villar | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| José Luis Morales | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gerard Moreno | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alex Baena | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Myrto Uzuni | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Alexander Sørloth | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ilias Akhomach | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Shon Weissman | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Étienne Capoue | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Alex Baena | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alex Baena | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Gonzalo Villar | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ilias Akhomach | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dani Parejo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 73% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 72% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 68% | 4 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Granada & Villarreal player stats→
Granada players & stats→
Villarreal players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Villarreal 5–1 Granada Mar 2024
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.