La Liga · 23/24

Villarreal v Granada

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Villarreal5 – 1 Granada 3 Mar 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 14 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Gonçalo Guedes	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Alexander Sørloth	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Gerard Moreno	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Myrto Uzuni	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Bertrand Traoré	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Theo Corbeanu	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Lucas Boyé	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Gonzalo Villar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Sergio Ruiz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Dani Parejo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Gonçalo Guedes	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Étienne Capoue	fouls drawn	1+	88%	4	✓
Bertrand Traoré	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	68%	3 cards	✗
Match goals	O2.5	65%	6 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	62%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Villarreal & Granada player stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Granada players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Granada 2–3 Villarreal Oct 2023

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works