La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Osasuna

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas1 – 1 Osasuna 24 Jan 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Fábio Silva	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Ante Budimir	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Raúl García de Haro	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Aimar Oroz	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Manuel Fuster	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Dário Essugo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Iker Muñoz	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Jaime Mata	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Pablo Ibáñez	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Jaime Mata	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	80%	7	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	56%	15 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	47%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	40%	2 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Osasuna player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Osasuna players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works