La Liga · 24/25

Las Palmas v Valencia

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Las Palmas2 – 3 Valencia 3 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rafa Mir	shots total	1+	98%	4	✓
Hugo Duro	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Manuel Fuster	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Adnan Januzaj	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Sandro Ramírez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Adnan Januzaj	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Sandro Ramírez	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Javier Guerra	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Diego López	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Hugo Duro	fouls drawn	1+	78%	2	✓
Dário Essugo	fouls drawn	1+	76%	1	✓
Alberto Moleiro	fouls drawn	1+	75%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	54%	2 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	46%	5 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Las Palmas & Valencia player stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Valencia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works