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La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v FC Barcelona

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés0 – 1 FC Barcelona 12 Apr 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Ferran Torres shots total 1+ 100% 1
Raphinha shots total 1+ 100% 2
Lamine Yamal shots total 1+ 100% 3
Robert Lewandowski shots total 1+ 100% 3
Fermín López shots total 1+ 92% 2
Dani Raba fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Pablo Gavi fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Lamine Yamal fouls drawn 1+ 88% 3
Pablo Gavi fouls committed 1+ 87% 0
Dani Raba fouls committed 1+ 83% 2
Fermín López fouls committed 1+ 83% 1
Yan Diomande shots total 1+ 80% 1
Dani Raba shots total 1+ 80% 1
Ferran Torres shots on target 1+ 80% 1

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match goals O2.5 68% 1 goals
Btts Yes 57% No
Match cards O4.5 35% 3 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.