La Liga · 24/25
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Leganés v Real Madrid
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Leganés0 – 3
Real Madrid
24 Nov 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Vinícius Júnior | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eduardo Camavinga | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vinícius Júnior | fouls drawn | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Arda Güler | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Dani Ceballos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Munir El Haddadi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Arda Güler | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Darko Brašanac | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Javier Hernández | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eduardo Camavinga | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dani Raba | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jude Bellingham | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Miguel de la Fuente | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 44% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 41% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 12% | 2 cards | ✗ |
Dig deeper
Leganés & Real Madrid player stats→
Leganés players & stats→
Real Madrid players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Madrid 3–2 Leganés Mar 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.