La Liga · 24/25

Real Madrid v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Madrid3 – 2 Leganés 29 Mar 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Vinícius Júnior	shots total	1+	100%	1	✓
Kylian Mbappé	shots total	1+	100%	9	✓
Eduardo Camavinga	fouls drawn	1+	93%	1	✓
Rodrygo	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Arda Güler	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Jude Bellingham	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Vinícius Júnior	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Jude Bellingham	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Arda Güler	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Rodrygo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Brahim Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Diego García	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Seydouba Cisse	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Javier Hernández	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	43%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	30%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Real Madrid & Leganés player stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Leganés 0–3 Real Madrid Nov 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works