La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Real Valladolid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés3 – 0 Real Valladolid 24 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	100%	4	✓
Munir El Haddadi	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Juanmi Latasa	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Duk	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Diego García	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Duk	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Anuar	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Juanmi Latasa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Mamadou Sylla	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Juanmi Latasa	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Dani Raba	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Tamás Nikitscher	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	52%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	49%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	40%	1 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Leganés & Real Valladolid player stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Real Valladolid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Valladolid 0–0 Leganés Aug 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works