La Liga · 24/25

Leganés v Villarreal

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Leganés2 – 5 Villarreal 22 Dec 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Thierno Barry	shots total	1+	98%	5	✓
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Gerard Moreno	shots total	1+	92%	5	✓
Óscar Rodríguez	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Pau Cabanes	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Dani Raba	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Pape Gueye	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Yvan Neyou	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Thierno Barry	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Yéremy Pino	fouls committed	1+	87%	4	✓
Alex Baena	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Javier Hernández	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Pape Gueye	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	54%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	46%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	45%	7 goals	✓

Dig deeper

Leganés & Villarreal player stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Villarreal 3–0 Leganés May 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works