La Liga · 24/25

Villarreal v Leganés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Villarreal3 – 0 Leganés 14 May 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Munir El Haddadi	fouls drawn	1+	100%	2	✓
Ayoze Pérez	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	92%	6	✓
Miguel de la Fuente	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Pape Gueye	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Nicolas Pépé	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Munir El Haddadi	shots total	1+	91%	5	✓
Diego García	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Pape Gueye	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Dani Raba	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Yan Diomande	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Darko Brašanac	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Yéremy Pino	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Dani Raba	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	53%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	48%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Villarreal & Leganés player stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Leganés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Leganés 2–5 Villarreal Dec 2024

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works