La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Deportivo Alavés

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca1 – 0 Deportivo Alavés 27 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Pablo Ibáñez	fouls drawn	1+	94%	0	✗
Mariano Díaz	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Toni Martínez	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Abderrahman Rebbach	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Samú Costa	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Carlos Vicente	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Vedat Muriqi	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Mateo Joseph	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Abderrahman Rebbach	fouls drawn	1+	88%	4	✓
Antonio Blanco	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Mariano Díaz	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Lucas Boyé	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	46%	5 cards	✓
Btts	Yes	40%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	32%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Deportivo Alavés player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Deportivo Alavés players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works