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La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca1 – 2 Girona FC 4 Jan 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Vedat Muriqi shots total 1+ 92% 3
Takuma Asano shots total 1+ 91% 1
Thomas Lemar fouls drawn 1+ 89% 0
Bryan Gil fouls drawn 1+ 89% 1
Samú Costa fouls drawn 1+ 88% 3
Vedat Muriqi fouls drawn 1+ 88% 2
Samú Costa fouls committed 1+ 87% 1
Pablo Torre fouls drawn 1+ 86% 1
Antonio Sánchez fouls committed 1+ 83% 0
Pablo Torre fouls committed 1+ 83% 0
Bryan Gil shots total 1+ 80% 0
Vladyslav Vanat shots total 1+ 80% 1
Jan Virgili shots total 1+ 80% 0
Mateo Joseph shots total 1+ 80% 0

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 49% Yes
Match goals O2.5 44% 3 goals
Match cards O4.5 19% 3 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.