La Liga · 25/26

Mallorca v Real Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Mallorca2 – 1 Real Madrid 4 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Brahim Díaz	fouls drawn	1+	100%	3	✓
Kylian Mbappé	shots total	1+	100%	6	✓
Vinícius Júnior	shots total	1+	98%	1	✓
Vinícius Júnior	fouls drawn	1+	93%	2	✓
Vedat Muriqi	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Jude Bellingham	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Arda Güler	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Eduardo Camavinga	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Jude Bellingham	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Zito Luvumbo	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Samú Costa	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Eduardo Camavinga	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Omar Mascarell	fouls committed	1+	83%	3	✓
Aurélien Tchouaméni	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	61%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	58%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	49%	6 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Mallorca & Real Madrid player stats→ Mallorca players & stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works