La Liga · 25/26
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Rayo Vallecano v Real Oviedo
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Rayo Vallecano3 – 0
Real Oviedo
4 Mar 2026
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Akhomach | fouls drawn | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ilias Akhomach | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pedro Díaz | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Álvaro García | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Federico Viñas | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Thiago Fernández | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Federico Viñas | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Óscar Trejo | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Santiago Colombatto | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Óscar Trejo | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Javi López | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ilyas Chaira | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 51% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Btts | Yes | 46% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 46% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Rayo Vallecano & Real Oviedo player stats→
Rayo Vallecano players & stats→
Real Oviedo players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Oviedo 0–0 Rayo Vallecano Nov 2025
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.