La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Rayo Vallecano

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo0 – 0 Rayo Vallecano 23 Nov 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Sergio Camello	shots total	1+	100%	0	✗
Alemão	shots total	1+	94%	0	✗
Álvaro García	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Jorge de Frutos	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Isi Palazón	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Salomón Rondón	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	3	✓
Santiago Colombatto	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Isi Palazón	fouls drawn	1+	86%	1	✓
Salomón Rondón	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Óscar Valentín	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Florian Lejeune	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Federico Viñas	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Unai López	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	49%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	45%	0 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	29%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Rayo Vallecano player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Rayo Vallecano players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Real Oviedo Mar 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works