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La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Elche

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo1 – 2 Elche 26 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Álvaro Rodriguez shots total 1+ 98% 0
Aleix Febas fouls drawn 1+ 94% 3
Ilyas Chaira shots total 1+ 92% 7
Federico Viñas shots total 1+ 92% 3
Thiago Borbas shots total 1+ 92% 0
André Silva shots total 1+ 92% 1
Gonzalo Villar fouls drawn 1+ 89% 4
Federico Viñas fouls drawn 1+ 89% 3
Germán Valera fouls drawn 1+ 88% 0
Ilyas Chaira fouls committed 1+ 87% 2
Haissem Hassan shots total 1+ 80% 0
Thiago Fernández shots total 1+ 80% 1
Thiago Borbas fouls drawn 1+ 79% 0
Santi Cazorla fouls drawn 1+ 78% 2

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Btts Yes 54% Yes
Match goals O2.5 50% 3 goals
Match cards O4.5 39% 3 cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.