La Liga · 25/26

Elche v Real Oviedo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Elche1 – 0 Real Oviedo 21 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Rafa Mir	shots total	1+	100%	5	✓
Rodrigo Mendoza	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Germán Valera	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
André Silva	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
Salomón Rondón	shots total	1+	92%	4	✓
Haissem Hassan	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Germán Valera	fouls drawn	1+	86%	2	✓
Rafa Mir	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Josip Brekalo	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Martim Neto	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Aleix Febas	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Alvaro Núñez	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Rafa Mir	shots on target	1+	80%	2	✓
Santi Cazorla	fouls drawn	1+	79%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	32%	4 cards	✗
Btts	Yes	28%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	25%	1 goals	✗

Dig deeper

Elche & Real Oviedo player stats→ Elche players & stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Oviedo 1–2 Elche Apr 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works