La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Real Madrid

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo0 – 3 Real Madrid 24 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Vinícius Júnior	shots on target	1+	100%	1	✓
Kylian Mbappé	shots on target	1+	100%	3	✓
Franco Mastantuono	shots on target	1+	100%	0	✗
Arda Güler	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Franco Mastantuono	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Kylian Mbappé	shots total	1+	100%	7	✓
Vinícius Júnior	shots total	1+	100%	2	✓
Rodrygo	shots total	1+	100%	4	✓
Federico Valverde	shots total	1+	100%	3	✓
Brahim Díaz	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Rodrygo	shots on target	1+	91%	2	✓
Salomón Rondón	shots total	1+	86%	0	✗
Salomón Rondón	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Haissem Hassan	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	65%	3 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	61%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	11%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Real Madrid player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Real Madrid players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Madrid 2–0 Real Oviedo May 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works