La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Villarreal

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo1 – 1 Villarreal 23 Apr 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Alfon González	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Georges Mikautadze	shots total	1+	94%	1	✓
Ilyas Chaira	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Nicolas Pépé	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Federico Viñas	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Tani Oluwaseyi	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Pape Gueye	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Thiago Fernández	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Ayoze Pérez	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Pape Gueye	fouls drawn	1+	89%	4	✓
Dani Parejo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Ayoze Pérez	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Georges Mikautadze	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	51%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	48%	2 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	31%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Villarreal player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Villarreal 2–0 Real Oviedo Aug 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works