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La Liga · 25/26

Villarreal v Real Oviedo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Villarreal2 – 0 Real Oviedo 15 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Salomón Rondón shots total 1+ 92% 2
Gerard Moreno shots total 1+ 91% 4
Etta Eyong shots total 1+ 91% 2
Haissem Hassan shots total 1+ 91% 0
Tajon Buchanan fouls drawn 1+ 89% 2
Pape Gueye fouls drawn 1+ 89% 3
Dani Parejo fouls drawn 1+ 88% 0
Yéremy Pino fouls committed 1+ 87% 1
Tajon Buchanan fouls committed 1+ 83% 0
Alberto Moleiro shots total 1+ 80% 0
Santi Comesaña shots total 1+ 80% 3
Nicolas Pépé shots total 1+ 80% 4
Pape Gueye shots total 1+ 80% 4
Nicolas Pépé fouls drawn 1+ 79% 0

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Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.