La Liga · 23/24

Real Sociedad v Almería

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Sociedad2 – 2 Almería 14 Apr 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Lucas Robertone	fouls drawn	1+	93%	3	✓
Ander Barrenetxea	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Sheraldo Becker	shots total	1+	92%	3	✓
Mikel Oyarzabal	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Takefusa Kubo	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Dion Lopy	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Luka Romero	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Choco Lozano	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Jonathan Viera	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Takefusa Kubo	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Choco Lozano	fouls committed	1+	87%	2	✓
Mikel Merino	fouls committed	1+	87%	3	✓
Choco Lozano	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match cards	O4.5	59%	5 cards	✓
Match goals	O2.5	51%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	47%	Yes	✓

Dig deeper

Real Sociedad & Almería player stats→ Real Sociedad players & stats→ Almería players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works