La Liga · 24/25
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Real Valladolid v FC Barcelona
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Real Valladolid1 – 2
FC Barcelona
3 May 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansu Fati | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 3 | ✓ |
| Raphinha | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
| Lamine Yamal | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
| Pau Víctor | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Pablo Gavi | fouls committed | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fermín López | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dani Olmo | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pablo Gavi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Sánchez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Selim Amallah | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juanmi Latasa | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juanmi Latasa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Stanko Jurić | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Anuar | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 71% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 55% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 37% | 5 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Real Valladolid & FC Barcelona player stats→
Real Valladolid players & stats→
FC Barcelona players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- FC Barcelona 7–0 Real Valladolid Aug 2024
- Real Valladolid 3–1 FC Barcelona May 2023
- FC Barcelona 4–0 Real Valladolid Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.