La Liga · 24/25
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Real Valladolid v Rayo Vallecano
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Real Valladolid1 – 2
Rayo Vallecano
5 Oct 2024
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 10 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juanmi Latasa | fouls committed | 1+ | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
| Juanmi Latasa | fouls drawn | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 4 | ✓ |
| Darwin Machís | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Raúl Moro | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juanmi Latasa | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Adrián Embarba | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sergio Camello | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Álvaro García | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge de Frutos | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Marcos André | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Selim Amallah | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mario Martín | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Isi Palazón | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 53% | 6 cards | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 42% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 36% | 3 goals | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Real Valladolid & Rayo Vallecano player stats→
Real Valladolid players & stats→
Rayo Vallecano players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Real Valladolid Feb 2025
- Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Real Valladolid May 2023
- Real Valladolid 0–1 Rayo Vallecano Jan 2023
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.