La Liga · 24/25
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Real Valladolid v Real Madrid
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Real Valladolid0 – 3
Real Madrid
25 Jan 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 6 | ✓ |
| Rodrygo | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jude Bellingham | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Brahim Díaz | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jude Bellingham | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Brahim Díaz | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dani Ceballos | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Sánchez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mario Martín | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Selim Amallah | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kike Pérez | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lucas Rosa | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marcos André | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mamadou Sylla | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 60% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 52% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 51% | 6 cards | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Real Valladolid & Real Madrid player stats→
Real Valladolid players & stats→
Real Madrid players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Madrid 3–0 Real Valladolid Aug 2024
- Real Madrid 6–0 Real Valladolid Apr 2023
- Real Valladolid 0–2 Real Madrid Dec 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.