La Liga · 25/26

Valencia v Real Oviedo

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Valencia1 – 2 Real Oviedo 30 Sep 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 11 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Arnaut Danjuma	shots total	1+	92%	6	✓
Hugo Duro	shots total	1+	92%	1	✓
Lucas Beltrán	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	88%	5	✓
André Almeida	fouls drawn	1+	88%	3	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Luka Ilić	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Javier Guerra	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Lucas Beltrán	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Diego López	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Haissem Hassan	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Baptiste Santamaria	shots total	1+	80%	2	✓
Luis Rioja	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Federico Viñas	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	42%	Yes	✓
Match goals	O2.5	40%	3 goals	✓
Match cards	O4.5	28%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Valencia & Real Oviedo player stats→ Valencia players & stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Real Oviedo 1–0 Valencia Mar 2026

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works