La Liga · 25/26

Real Oviedo v Valencia

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Real Oviedo1 – 0 Valencia 14 Mar 2026

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Largie Ramazani	shots total	1+	100%	4	✓
Arnaut Danjuma	shots total	1+	92%	0	✗
Ilyas Chaira	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Hugo Duro	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Umar Sadiq	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Federico Viñas	fouls drawn	1+	89%	6	✓
Hugo Duro	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
André Almeida	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Umar Sadiq	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Diego López	fouls drawn	1+	88%	0	✗
Ilyas Chaira	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Umar Sadiq	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Santiago Colombatto	fouls committed	1+	83%	0	✗
Javi López	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Btts	Yes	49%	No	✗
Match goals	O2.5	43%	1 goals	✗
Match cards	O4.5	18%	5 cards	✓

Dig deeper

Real Oviedo & Valencia player stats→ Real Oviedo players & stats→ Valencia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Valencia 1–2 Real Oviedo Sep 2025

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works