La Liga · 25/26

Villarreal v Girona FC

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Villarreal5 – 0 Girona FC 24 Aug 2025

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 8 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Pape Gueye	shots total	1+	91%	2	✓
Nicolas Pépé	shots total	1+	91%	3	✓
Etta Eyong	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Ilias Akhomach	shots total	1+	91%	0	✗
Yangel Herrera	fouls drawn	1+	89%	0	✗
Ilias Akhomach	fouls drawn	1+	89%	1	✓
Tajon Buchanan	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Pape Gueye	fouls drawn	1+	88%	2	✓
Yéremy Pino	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Yangel Herrera	fouls committed	1+	87%	0	✗
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Yangel Herrera	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Viktor Tsygankov	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Thomas Lemar	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	63%	5 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	58%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	33%	3 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Villarreal & Girona FC player stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Girona FC players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works