La Liga · 24/25

Villarreal v Las Palmas

How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Villarreal3 – 1 Las Palmas 30 Sep 2024

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 13 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Fábio Silva	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Thierno Barry	shots total	1+	92%	2	✓
Nicolas Pépé	shots total	1+	91%	4	✓
Oli McBurnie	shots total	1+	91%	1	✓
Adnan Januzaj	fouls drawn	1+	89%	2	✓
Ilias Akhomach	fouls drawn	1+	88%	1	✓
Pape Gueye	fouls committed	1+	87%	1	✓
Ilias Akhomach	fouls committed	1+	83%	1	✓
Fábio Silva	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Thierno Barry	fouls committed	1+	83%	2	✓
Alex Baena	shots total	1+	80%	3	✓
Benito Ramírez	shots total	1+	80%	0	✗
Adnan Januzaj	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓
Alberto Moleiro	shots total	1+	80%	1	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	66%	4 goals	✓
Btts	Yes	55%	Yes	✓
Match cards	O4.5	51%	4 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Villarreal & Las Palmas player stats→ Villarreal players & stats→ Las Palmas players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works