La Liga · 24/25
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Villarreal v Real Valladolid
How the SharpXI model rated this La Liga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Villarreal5 – 1
Real Valladolid
1 Feb 2025
Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 12 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thierno Barry | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gerard Moreno | shots total | 1+ | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicolas Pépé | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ayoze Pérez | shots total | 1+ | 98% | 4 | ✓ |
| Marcos André | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mamadou Sylla | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pape Gueye | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Alex Baena | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Pape Gueye | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ayoze Pérez | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marcos André | fouls drawn | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Anuar | fouls drawn | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Selim Amallah | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Yéremy Pino | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 67% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 66% | 6 goals | ✓ |
| Btts | Yes | 51% | Yes | ✓ |
Dig deeper
Villarreal & Real Valladolid player stats→
Villarreal players & stats→
Real Valladolid players & stats→
Shots on target model→
To be carded model→
Guide: bet builder value→
Past meetings
- Real Valladolid 1–2 Villarreal Oct 2024
- Villarreal 1–2 Real Valladolid Apr 2023
- Real Valladolid 0–3 Villarreal Aug 2022
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.