Álvaro Negredo
Over his last 10 La Liga games, Álvaro Negredo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 0%, and 1+ foul won in 30%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Álvaro Negredo featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Deportivo Alavés19 Jan | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Granada3 Jan | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Getafe6 Nov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Girona FC7 Oct | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Athletic Club16 Sep | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Villarreal1 Sep | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Barcelona20 Aug | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Villarreal24 May | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Mallorca12 May | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Atlético Madrid3 May | 61 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Álvaro Negredo have a shot on target?
Over his last 10 La Liga games, Álvaro Negredo has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Álvaro Negredo average?
Across his last 10 La Liga games, Álvaro Negredo is averaging 0.51 shots on target and 2.57 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Álvaro Negredo get booked?
Álvaro Negredo is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Álvaro Negredo commit or win more fouls?
Over his last 10 games Álvaro Negredo commits 0.00 fouls per 90 and wins 1.54 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Álvaro Negredo?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Álvaro Negredo plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.