Dani Carvajal
Full-back 93% of 30 recent starts Real MadridLa Liga 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga full-back, 25/26, 1,766 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Dani Carvajal has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Dani Carvajal featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club23 May | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Oviedo14 May | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Deportivo Alavés21 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Girona FC10 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Atlético Madrid22 Mar | 64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elche14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe2 Mar | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Osasuna21 Feb | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Sociedad14 Feb | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Dani Carvajal have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Dani Carvajal has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Dani Carvajal average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Dani Carvajal is averaging 0.15 shots on target and 0.45 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Dani Carvajal get booked?
Dani Carvajal is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Dani Carvajal commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Dani Carvajal commits 0.45 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dani Carvajal?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dani Carvajal plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.