What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Kylian Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 100%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Kylian Mbappé in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 12 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian MbappéReal Madrid | 7 | 5.86 | 1.14 |
| Ante BudimirOsasuna | 7 | 3.23 | 1.79 |
| Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 7 | 3.64 | 1.53 |
| Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo de A Coruña | 7 | 2.73 | 0.64 |
| Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid | 7 | 3.50 | 0.96 |
| Roberto FernándezEspanyol | 8 | 2.46 | 1.55 |
| These 5, combined | 3.06 | 1.29 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Kylian Mbappé featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Atlético Madrid20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Elche15 Sep | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Rayo Vallecano12 Sep | 90 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Real Betis4 Sep | 90 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Málaga CF30 Aug | 90 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Espanyol23 Aug | 90 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Sociedad16 Aug | 90 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Athletic Club23 May | 90 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla17 May | 90 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Oviedo14 May | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 12 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Kylian Mbappé have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Kylian Mbappé has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Kylian Mbappé average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Kylian Mbappé is averaging 2.60 shots on target and 5.96 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Kylian Mbappé get booked?
Kylian Mbappé is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Kylian Mbappé commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Kylian Mbappé commits 0.87 fouls per 90 and wins 1.41 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Kylian Mbappé?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Kylian Mbappé plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.