Julián Alvarez
In 25/26, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 55% of his 29 La Liga appearances (16 of 29), 1+ total shot in 79%, 1+ foul committed in 38%, and 1+ foul won in 45%. He has been booked in 7% (2 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Julián Alvarez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Real Madrid22 Mar | 90 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Getafe14 Mar | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Sociedad7 Mar | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Real Oviedo28 Feb | 45 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Espanyol21 Feb | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Rayo Vallecano15 Feb | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Real Betis8 Feb | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Levante UD31 Jan | 63 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mallorca25 Jan | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Deportivo Alavés18 Jan | 62 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Julián Alvarez have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 55% of his 29 La Liga appearances (16 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Julián Alvarez average?
Across 29 La Liga appearances in 25/26, Julián Alvarez is averaging 1.23 shots on target and 2.56 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Julián Alvarez get booked?
Julián Alvarez is averaging 0.09 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Julián Alvarez commit or win more fouls?
This season Julián Alvarez commits 0.66 fouls per 90 and wins 0.85 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Julián Alvarez?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Julián Alvarez plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.