Julián Alvarez
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, and 1+ foul won in 30%. He has been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Julián Alvarez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Tottenham14 May | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham11 May | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Wolves4 May | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest28 Apr | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Brighton25 Apr | 90 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Luton13 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace6 Apr | 74 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aston Villa3 Apr | 90 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool10 Mar | 69 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd3 Mar | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Julián Alvarez have a shot on target?
Over his last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Julián Alvarez average?
Across his last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez is averaging 1.64 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Julián Alvarez get booked?
Julián Alvarez is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over his last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Julián Alvarez commit or win more fouls?
Over his last 10 games Julián Alvarez commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 0.49 — about as many as he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Julián Alvarez?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Julián Alvarez plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.