Julián Alvarez
Attacking midfielder 30% of 30 recent starts Atlético MadridPremier League 23/24
Also in: La Liga
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League attacking midfielder, 25/26, 908 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 30%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Julián Alvarez has no Premier League record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Champions League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Premier League strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julián AlvarezAtlético MadridUEFA Champions League | 15 | 3.34 | 1.52 |
| Igor ThiagoBrentford | 38 | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Hugo EkitikéLiverpool FC | 28 | 3.23 | 1.74 |
| Jean-Philippe MatetaCrystal Palace | 32 | 2.55 | 0.85 |
| Ollie WatkinsAston Villa | 37 | 2.62 | 1.10 |
| Noah OkaforLeeds United | 28 | 2.00 | 1.03 |
| These 5, combined | 2.53 | 1.40 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Julián Alvarez featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Tottenham14 May | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Fulham11 May | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wolves4 May | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest28 Apr | 89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Brighton25 Apr | 90 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Luton13 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace6 Apr | 74 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aston Villa3 Apr | 90 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Liverpool10 Mar | 69 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Man Utd3 Mar | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 9 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Julián Alvarez have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Julián Alvarez average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Julián Alvarez is averaging 1.64 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Julián Alvarez get booked?
Julián Alvarez is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Julián Alvarez commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Julián Alvarez commits 0.49 fouls per 90 and wins 0.49 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Julián Alvarez?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Julián Alvarez plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.