What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joško Gvardiol has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 50%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Joško Gvardiol in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 65 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joško GvardiolManchester City | 18 | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Malick ThiawNewcastle United | 35 | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| Omar AldereteSunderland | 33 | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Fabian SchärNewcastle United | 16 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Jaka BijolLeeds United | 25 | 0.71 | 0.89 |
| Konstantinos MavropanosWest Ham United | 31 | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| These 5, combined | 0.85 | 0.86 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Joško Gvardiol featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Man Utd13 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Coventry City5 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| @ Crystal Palace28 Aug | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bournemouth23 Aug | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Aston Villa24 May | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Crystal Palace13 May | 58 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chelsea4 Jan | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Sunderland1 Jan | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest27 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Joško Gvardiol have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Joško Gvardiol has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Joško Gvardiol average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Joško Gvardiol is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 1.06 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Joško Gvardiol get booked?
Joško Gvardiol is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Joško Gvardiol commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Joško Gvardiol commits 0.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.80 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joško Gvardiol?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joško Gvardiol plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.