Dan Burn
Centre-back 47% of 30 recent starts NewcastlePremier League 25/26
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Premier League centre-back, 25/26, 1,659 appearances
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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Premier League games, Dan Burn has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Dan Burn in Premier League, 25/26 — drawn from 61 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan BurnNewcastle United | 29 | 0.41 | 1.47 |
| Álex JiménezFiorentina | 31 | 0.81 | 1.35 |
| Reinildo MandavaSunderland | 25 | 0.18 | 1.46 |
| Luke ShawManchester United | 38 | 0.28 | 1.36 |
| Marc CucurellaChelsea | 34 | 0.66 | 1.49 |
| Bashir HumphreysBurnley | 20 | 0.51 | 0.80 |
| These 5, combined | 0.49 | 1.33 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Dan Burn featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Fulham24 May | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| West Ham17 May | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Nottingham Forest10 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brighton2 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Arsenal25 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Bournemouth18 Apr | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sunderland22 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Chelsea14 Mar | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Man Utd4 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Everton28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Premier League officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Premier League referees
Frequently asked
How often does Dan Burn have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Premier League games, Dan Burn has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Dan Burn average?
Across the last 10 Premier League games, Dan Burn is averaging 0.40 shots on target and 0.81 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Dan Burn get booked?
Dan Burn is averaging 0.40 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Dan Burn commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Dan Burn commits 0.81 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Dan Burn?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Dan Burn plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.