Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
La Liga 24/25
HU

Hugo Novoa

Forward Deportivo AlavésLa Liga 24/25

Also in: Bundesliga

Next match
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid›
Sat 10 OctReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 5 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 5 games

Compared with a La Liga forward, 25/26, 2,676 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
4.10MGMEdge
Total shots0.38 per 90
20%
1 of 50.3×
2.20PPEdge
Fouls won0.38 per 90
20%
1 of 50.4×
1.57PPEdge
Fouls committed0.38 per 90
20%
1 of 50.5×
1.40PPEdge
Tackles3.08 per 90
40%
2 of 51.1×
0%
0 of 4
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
5.00PPEdge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 5
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 5 La Liga games, Hugo Novoa has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 5), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 5). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 5

Recent matches

The last 5 games Hugo Novoa featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Barcelona2 Feb 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Real Madrid24 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 7 0
Las Palmas1 Sep 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Real Sociedad28 Aug 90 0 0 0 0 1 0
@ Celta Vigo16 Aug 32 0 1 1 0 0 0

Frequently asked

How often does Hugo Novoa have a shot on target?

Over the last 5 La Liga games, Hugo Novoa has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 5). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Hugo Novoa average?

Across the last 5 La Liga games, Hugo Novoa is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.38 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Hugo Novoa get booked?

Hugo Novoa is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 5 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Hugo Novoa commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 5 games Hugo Novoa commits 0.38 fouls per 90 and wins 0.38 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Hugo Novoa?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Hugo Novoa plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.