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La Liga 26/27
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Gonçalo Guedes

Wide midfielder 60% of 30 recent starts Real SociedadLa Liga 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruña›
Sun 11 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga wide midfielder, 25/26, 707 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.08 per 90
40%
4 of 101.4×
1.68MGMEdge
Total shots3.43 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.5×
1.07PPEdge
Fouls won2.53 per 90
50%
5 of 100.9×
1.12bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.08 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
1.53PPEdge
Tackles1.45 per 90
70%
7 of 101.3×
25%
2 of 82.2×
Cards0.36 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
3.10bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 41 selections across 14 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Gonçalo Guedes has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 90%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Gonçalo Guedes in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 7 wide midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Gonçalo GuedesReal Sociedad 63.71 1.01
Giuliano SimeoneAtlético Madrid 71.71 1.33
Alex BaenaAtlético Madrid 72.97 1.98
Ademola LookmanAtlético Madrid 71.96 1.37
Joaquín MuñozMálaga CF 81.00 1.00
David LarrubiaMálaga CF 81.90 0.95
These 5, combined 1.90 1.29

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Gonçalo Guedes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Valencia20 Sep 90 1 3 2 4 1 0
Atlético Madrid13 Sep 72 0 1 1 1 2 0
@ Elche7 Sep 58 0 1 0 0 1 0
Celta Vigo3 Sep 19 0 2 0 0 0 0
Espanyol30 Aug 12 3 3 0 0 1 0
@ Real Madrid16 Aug 16 0 1 0 1 1 0
Valencia17 May 11 0 0 0 0 1 0
Deportivo Alavés11 Apr 45 0 2 0 0 0 1
Levante UD4 Apr 85 1 5 1 4 0 0
@ Villarreal20 Mar 90 1 1 2 4 1 1
Officials on record
Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias 5 games Gonçalo Guedes booked in 1 4.35cards/game 0.90×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 4 games Gonçalo Guedes never booked 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
Juan Martinez Munuera 3 games Gonçalo Guedes booked in 1 4.85cards/game 1.00×vs league
Adrian Cordero Vega 3 games Gonçalo Guedes never booked 4.55cards/game 0.94×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Gonçalo Guedes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Gonçalo Guedes has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Gonçalo Guedes average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Gonçalo Guedes is averaging 1.08 shots on target and 3.43 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Gonçalo Guedes get booked?

Gonçalo Guedes is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Gonçalo Guedes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Gonçalo Guedes commits 1.08 fouls per 90 and wins 2.53 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Gonçalo Guedes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Gonçalo Guedes plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.